Market Dynamics and Price Behaviour of Bengalgram in Karnataka - an Agribusiness Analysis (Record no. 71086)

MARC details
000 -LEADER
fixed length control field 02920nam a2200205 4500
003 - CONTROL NUMBER IDENTIFIER
control field OSt
005 - DATE AND TIME OF LATEST TRANSACTION
control field 20250626163359.0
008 - FIXED-LENGTH DATA ELEMENTS--GENERAL INFORMATION
fixed length control field 250626b |||||||| |||| 00| 0 eng d
040 ## - CATALOGING SOURCE
Transcribing agency University of Agricultural Sciences, Dharwad
041 ## - LANGUAGE CODE
Language code English
082 ## - DEWEY DECIMAL CLASSIFICATION NUMBER
Classification number 658.93
Author Label KUM
100 ## - MAIN ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Name of Author Kumara Prema C
245 ## - TITLE STATEMENT
Title Market Dynamics and Price Behaviour of Bengalgram in Karnataka - an Agribusiness Analysis
250 ## - EDITION STATEMENT
Edition Statement M Sc (Agri)
260 ## - PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, ETC.
Place of Publisher Dharwad
Name of Publisher University of Agricultural Sciences, Dharwad
Publication Year 2024
300 ## - PHYSICAL DESCRIPTION
Book Pages 114
Book Size 32 Cms
520 ## - SUMMARY, ETC.
Abstract. Present study explored bengalgram (Cicer arietinum) market dynamics, integration and price forecasting in Karnataka from 2008-09 to 2022-23. It examines growth and instability in bengalgram area, production and productivity at national, state and district levels using Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) for growth and the Cuddy-Della Valle Index (CDVI) for instability. Results show increased area, production and productivity in India, driven by supportive policies and technological advancements. However, high instability in Karnataka state, linked to rainfall dependency and infrastructure constraints, underscores the need for stability-oriented interventions.Market trends in selected major bengalgram markets namely, Bidar, Kalaburagi and Gadag showed an inverse relationship between arrivals and prices. Seasonal arrival peaked in February and March months lead to temporary price drops, while reduced mid-year arrivals cause prices to rise, demonstrating a strong seasonal influence on pricing and prices peak during October and November months. Addressing these fluctuations requires improved water management, drought-resistant seeds, enhanced storage and Minimum Support Price (MSP) support, especially given the prevalence of agriculture.Market integration analysis using Johansen Co-integration and Granger causality tests indicates long-term price equilibrium across these markets, with Kalaburagi market acting as a price leader influencing both Bidar and Gadag markets. The Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) further underscores Kalaburagi market’s central role in short-term price adjustments due to its market size and infrastructure.For price forecasting, ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average) model demonstrated high forecasting accuracy, with Mean Absolute Percentage Errors (MAPEs) of5.45 per cent for Gadag, 5.75 per cent for Kalaburagi and 6.86 per cent for Bidar. Despite challenges during volatility, ARIMA provided reliable short-term forecasts, aiding farmers, traders and policymakers. The study underscores the importance of market integration and infrastructure improvements in stabilizing prices and enhancing efficiency, offering insights for sustainable bengalgram strategies in Karnataka and beyond.
700 ## - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
2nd Author, 3rd Author Balachandra K Naik
942 ## - ADDED ENTRY ELEMENTS (KOHA)
Koha Item type THESIS
Edition M Sc (Agri)
Classification part 658.93
Call number prefix KUM
Suppress in OPAC No
942 ## - ADDED ENTRY ELEMENTS (KOHA)
-- 658_930000000000000
999 ## -
-- 71086
-- 71086
Holdings
Withdrawn status Lost status Source of classification or shelving scheme Damaged status Not for loan Home library Current library Date acquired Total checkouts Full call number Barcode Date last seen Copy number Price effective from Koha item type
    Dewey Decimal Classification     University of Agricultural Sciences, Dharwad University of Agricultural Sciences, Dharwad 20/03/2025   658.93/KUM T14150 26/06/2025 1 26/06/2025 THESIS